PolyBaskets

How it works

From conviction to a live position, in five steps.

1Convictionthe idea youwant exposure to2Find marketsrelated marketsacross categories3Buildselect andweight them4Tradeone position,many outcomes5Agents run itmonitor andadjust, alwaysyour conviction does not have to stop when you close your laptopconviction, running 24/7
Pick a conviction, gather the markets that carry it, weight them, and hold one position. Agents keep it current after that.

The five steps

Start with a conviction

Choose the idea you want exposure to. Broad, like AI Boom, or specific, like US AI regulation remains favorable through 2027.

PolyBaskets brings together the prediction markets connected to that conviction. They can come from different events, timelines and categories.

Build your basket

Select the markets that best represent your view, then define how much each one should matter. Your basket becomes your own prediction-market index.

Trade the basket

Instead of thinking about every market independently, you follow and trade the broader position. One basket represents many connected outcomes.

Let agents manage it

Markets change continuously. Probabilities move, new markets launch, old ones settle. Agents can manage a basket around its objective while you are away.

Conviction, running 24/7

Your conviction does not have to stop when you close your laptop.

Next

Agents

Step five, in full: how a basket keeps working once you have stopped watching it.

The index layer

Where baskets sit above individual markets, and what they turn into.

Baskets

A collection of prediction markets organized around a common idea.

Agents

Markets settle. Conviction evolves. Agents keep a basket running.

On this page

The five stepsStart with a convictionFind related marketsBuild your basketTrade the basketLet agents manage itNext