Baskets
A collection of prediction markets organized around a common idea.
What a basket is
A basket is a collection of prediction markets organized around a common idea.
Rather than trading each market independently, the basket represents your broader conviction. Each market carries a weight, set by how much it matters to the idea.
The same markets, weighted differently, are a different view. That is where the expression lives.
Why baskets
Baskets introduce properties that isolated markets cannot easily provide.
Broader expression
Trade the whole idea instead of compressing it into one binary question. A weighted set of markets can say something a single YES/NO contract simply cannot.
Diversification
One market resolving badly does not end the position. Exposure sits across several related outcomes, so being wrong about a detail is survivable while being right about the direction still pays.
Continuous management
A basket is not frozen at the moment you built it. Agents can watch it, rebalance it and follow the objective as probabilities move and new markets appear.
Discoverability
A basket is legible. Weeks of research compress into a name and a weight table, which other traders can read, evaluate and follow in seconds.
What people build
PolyBaskets can represent almost any conviction with enough underlying markets.
Markets around AI adoption, chips, data centers, regulation, power, and the major AI companies.
Reads as: the build-out continues and the constraints get solved.
The basket becomes a way of saying:
This is how I think the world will evolve.